Women's National Basketball Association · Total Points

Portland Fire at Washington Mystics: Under 172.5

Updated recently

High-probability market-backed pick focused on hit rate. Price and availability can change; review documented inputs and limitations.

Available line from FanDuel

Market

Total Points

Published pick

Under 172.5

Price

-294

Market edge

8.0%

Pick confidence

61.6%

Market probability

70.5%

Expected value

5.2%

Tip time

Jul 16, 11:00 PM UTC

Assumptions

The selected sportsbook quote was available and actionable at capture time.
Recent form is directionally informative but shrunk toward the de-vigged market.
Missing rest, injury, or player inputs contribute no edge rather than an invented value.

Odds can move after capture and the displayed price may no longer be available.
The baseline does not model every lineup, travel, coaching, or matchup interaction.
Sparse samples and incomplete injury coverage reduce confidence and shrink the estimate.
Historical calibration does not guarantee future betting profit.