Verified settlement
Published picks, final scores, unit outcomes, and official performance—kept in one auditable ledger.
Ledger shows one canonical pre-tip published pick per event, market, and subject. Earlier revisions are consolidated.
V4 preserves the verified Model 2.0 forward record and appends new V4 publications without rewriting history. Archive and live rows stay labeled.
Win rate
74.0%
37W / 13L / 0P
Flat-stake ROI
-3.1%
-1.56u
Simulated daily accumulator
-47.9%
12 days / -5.75u
Settled picks
50
50 decisions
Last updated
Aug 25, 4:40 AM EDT
Database ledger
Simulated accumulator groups every qualifying published pick by Eastern betting day at recorded prices. 1 of 12 days combine multiple sportsbooks and do not represent single-book wagers. Mean daily flat-stake ROI: -5.2%.
Verified Model 2.0 moneyline benchmark: 12W / 2L · +9.3% flat-stake ROI across 14 settled decisions. This is the preserved forward record, not a reconstructed backtest.
| Matchup | Market | Pick | Win probability | Outcome | Closing line | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sat, Aug 15, 20263W / 0L / 0P / 100.0% win rate / +15.6% ROI / +0.47u | |||||||
 LASat WAS | Total PointsV4 live | Under 196.5 | HIGH · 93% | 70–80 (150) | 196.5 (-2326) | Win | +0.04u |
| LASat | |||||||
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WAS| Player ThreesV4 live |
| Georgia Amoore Under 1.5 |
LEAN · 69% |
| 70–80 |
| 1.5 (-270) |
| Win |
| +0.38u |
Fri, Aug 14, 20262W / 1L / 0P / 66.7% win rate / -31.4% ROI / -0.94u | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PDXat SEA | Total PointsV4 live | Under 206.5 | EXTREME · 95% | 84–82 (166) | 206.5 (-4000) | Win | +0.03u |
 DALat IND | Total PointsV4 live | Under 211.5 | HIGH · 94% | 87–98 (185) | 211.5 (-3030) | Win | +0.03u |
| DALatIND | Player ThreesV4 live | Arike Ogunbowale Over | LEAN · 66% | 87–98 | 1.5 (-188) | Loss | -1.00u |
Thu, Aug 13, 20262W / 0L / 0P / 100.0% win rate / +23.4% ROI / +0.47u | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LASat NYL | Game WinnerV4 live | New York Liberty Win | LEAN · 79% | 81–85 | - (-350) | Win | +0.29u |
 ATLat CON | Game WinnerV4 live | Atlanta Dream Win | LEAN · 80% | 104–69 | - (-549) | Win | +0.18u |
Wed, Aug 12, 20263W / 0L / 0P / 100.0% win rate / +18.8% ROI / +0.56u | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MINatPDX | Game WinnerV4 live | Minnesota Lynx Win | SOLID · 85% | 85–81 | - (-800) | Win | +0.13u |
 CHIat GSV | Game WinnerV4 live | Golden State Valkyries Win | LEAN · 79% | 71–91 | - (-420) | Win | +0.24u |
 TORatDAL | Game WinnerV4 live | Dallas Wings Win | LEAN · 81% | 88–94 | - (-500) | Win | +0.20u |
